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Animal Biodiversity and Conservation. Volume 27.1 (2004) Pages: 231-245

Ecosystem management via interacting models of political and ecological processes

Haas, T. C.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.32800/abc.2004.27.0231

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Abstract

The decision to implement environmental protection options is a political one. Political realities may cause a country to not heed the most persuasive scientific analysis of an ecosystem’s future health. A predictive understanding of the political processes that result in ecosystem management decisions may help guide ecosystem management policymaking. To this end, this article develops a stochastic, temporal model of how political processes influence and are influenced by ecosystem processes. This model is realized in a system of interacting influence diagrams that model the decision making of a country’s political bodies. These decisions interact with a model of the ecosystem enclosed by the country. As an example, a model for Cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) management in Kenya is constructed and fitted to decision and ecological data.

Keywords

Social systems, Ecological systems, Influence diagrams

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Haas, T. C., 2004. Ecosystem management via interacting models of political and ecological processes. Animal Biodiversity and Conservation, 27: 231-245, DOI: https://doi.org/10.32800/abc.2004.27.0231

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